Editor's Note:
From April 17 to 19 (Beijing Time), the "Global Scenarios Workshop," co-hosted by the Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University and the Tsinghua Latin America Center, was successfully held at the Tsinghua Latin America Center in Santiago, Chile, via a hybrid online-offline format. The workshop gathered top experts from domestic and international institutions to focus on core issues in climate scenario assessment, exploring technical pathways and discussing collaboration mechanisms. This event serves as a vivid example of China's deep participation in the scientific agenda of global climate governance and has consolidated international consensus and laid a solid research foundation for the relevant work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Seventh Assessment Cycle (IPCC AR7).
Original Link:
https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/wCUVNkcEV0I13eRsCBGWxQ
Global Scenarios International Workshop Held in Chile to Explore New Pathways for Scenario Assessment
From April 17 to 19, the "Global Scenarios Workshop" co-hosted by the Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy,Tsinghua University and the Tsinghua University Latin America Center was successfully held at the Tsinghua Latin America Center in Santiago, Chile, via a hybrid online-offline format.
The conference was chaired by Associate Professor Da Zhang of the Institute. Professor Robert Vautard, Co-Chair of Working Group I for the IPCC Seventh Assessment Cycle (AR7), and Academician Xiaoye Zhang attended the meeting. Dozens of experts and scholars from multiple institutions, including Tsinghua University, the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), the Center for International Climate and Environmental Research (CICERO), and Météo-France, engaged in in-depth discussions on core topics such as the global climate scenario assessment framework, the latest progress of ScenarioMIP, and cross-working group collaboration on climate scenarios.
During the keynote session, Chris Smith from IIASA introduced the latest progress of the Scenario Compass Initiative, focusing on key indicators such as near-term emission reductions, net-zero timelines, and renewable energy deployment. Benjamin Sanderson from CICERO explained the design of ScenarioMIP-CMIP7 and the FLEX framework for extending scenarios to the year 2500. Associate Professor Da Zhang presented the phased work of the IPCC AR7 Cross-Working Group Scenario Coordination Team.
In the free discussion session, experts assessed the potential application of artificial intelligence in assisting scenario generation, screening, and evaluation, along with the transparency risks involved, as well as the use of weighting algorithms to optimize the representativeness of scenario databases. Participants unanimously agreed that in the face of the stringent requirements of the new round of climate assessments, strengthening coordination in scenario design and data interoperability among working groups is crucial.
Since the launch of IPCC AR7, the Institute has been deeply involved in related work. Associate Professor Da Zhang was selected as a Coordinating Lead Author for Working Group I of IPCC AR7, jointly responsible for the writing of the scenario chapter for Working Group I. The consensus reached at this workshop will provide significant reference value for the collaborative implementation of related work across working groups.
